TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Suns, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets61c12,198$7,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns30c7,379$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.3861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Suns48c7,370$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.0213950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns38c6,000$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets59c5,444$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.8965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaed…5bb2backed Suns0c5,179$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+171.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns0c3,803$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.334573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns33c3,179$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.291,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Suns37c3,119$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.4830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets62c2,884$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.021,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns37c2,649$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.31,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Suns38c2,633$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.546245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets62c2,505$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.7933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets63c2,138$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76070147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets72c1,986$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Suns47c1,867$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9612651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Suns38c1,863$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.0610925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets67c1,810$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.8439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns36c1,587$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.4977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets53c1,527$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.3126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Nuggets67c1,500$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Suns21c1,472$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4817141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Suns2c1,117$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6242434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Nuggets64c1,063$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.56642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets63c1,003$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Suns37c988.62$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.797236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8290…6a65backed Nuggets71c987.29$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.294465.9%29 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Nuggets67c915.33$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.536552.3%34 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns36c889.49$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns4c888.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.881,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Suns38c868.01$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Suns38c866.35$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.716450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets63c862.03$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns26c799.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x279d…bc0ebacked Nuggets78c785.63$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Nuggets69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.646347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets50c660.14$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.071,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets64c641.6$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.811,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Suns38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Nuggets63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Suns15c599.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8823835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Nuggets61c596.87$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Nuggets78c570.12$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.437352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Nuggets74c566.74$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.355366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Nuggets63c555$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.351770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns22c529.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.531,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Suns2c525$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Suns24c519.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.56947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Nuggets76c507.65$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8419939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets69c500$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nuggets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Nuggets64c491.02$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.872556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets63c490$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Suns38c475.09$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5334644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Nuggets64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.757558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns37c457.46$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.732,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Nuggets64c456.62$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.386160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets69c435.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets65c420$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14716160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc166…98bfbacked Nuggets67c401.47$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ee…45bbbacked Nuggets75c401.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c5…a102backed Suns33c400.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed Nuggets63c394.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.163724.3%9 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets60c346.35$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.541,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x893b…188ebacked Nuggets78c334.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Nuggets62c333$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Nuggets62c320$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.626049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Nuggets63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4615558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Nuggets64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Nuggets67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.516167.2%41 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Nuggets63c287.57$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.45151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Nuggets67c284.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82cf…defdbacked Nuggets64c266.78$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Suns37c266.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.74344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Nuggets66c266.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1616440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nuggets67c255$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Suns28c250$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7911926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Nuggets64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.387860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Suns20c229.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.986934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Nuggets64c206.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.039646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Suns20c204.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4165726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Suns34c201.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.523839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Nuggets63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746960.9%42 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ea…969bbacked Suns25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Suns37c194.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e92…aea3backed Nuggets67c181.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.073151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets55c177.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Nuggets70c174.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.387452.7%39 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…6dc7backed Suns37c170.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Nuggets64c163.86$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.995034%17 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Suns31c161.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Nuggets62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292347.8%11 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x197e…9059backed Nuggets63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Suns36c157.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5745251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.