TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9376…1655

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
601
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.55
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.67
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.97
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$94.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$64.55
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$59.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.33
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+208%+$40.75
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.99
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.32
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.76
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$43.05
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.9
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.21
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.22
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$25.21
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$38.02
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT15717.8%28 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+552.9%+$71.88
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.73
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$92.47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+2,186%+$262.31
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.62
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+493.1%+$532.53
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+232.7%+$167.35
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.94
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+124.6%+$51.66
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.55
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.48
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.42
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.75
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.36
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT9957.6%57 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.93
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.65
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.31
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.57
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+37%+$9.58
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$10.89
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+60.1%+$12.73
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.01
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.02
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.19
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.68
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.41
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$21.09
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.29
Ducks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.94
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$52.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$11.52
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$60.1
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$20.12
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$54.8
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.93
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$25.69
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT7452.7%39 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.23
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.38
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.77
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.1
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+525%+$52.5
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.42
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+134.1%+$27.86
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.67
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.43
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.12
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$20.04
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.01
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.33
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.82
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.72
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+35.7%+$20.26
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.1
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.42
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$38.33
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37.35
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+36.1%+$23.11
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$95.84
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$69.97
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.79
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.61
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$44.59
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.95
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.36
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$20.02
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.63
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+25%+$7.74
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.55
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$18.09
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.41
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+36.3%+$7.92
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+40.8%+$14.01
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+40.9%+$150.83
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+37%+$30.24
49ers vs. Billsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$11.42
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$13.58
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+316.7%+$39.08
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+49.3%+$10.76
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+30.7%+$6.06
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$15.14
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+25%+$3.04
Chiefs vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.69
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mix vs. Wiklaczbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.77
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Soriano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.22
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+185.9%+$102.03
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.97
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20.88
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$67.75
Ortega vs. Lopesbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.11
Zellhuber vs. Ribovicsbacked Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Rodriguez vs. Osbournebacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$11.97
Texas A&M vs. USCbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$34.8
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.3
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$29.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win the Solheim Cup?backed Europe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.