TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$743,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$744,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians43c186,309$79,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,541.7321040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Cleveland Guardians44c172,074$75,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,061.653455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers13c168,432$22,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,619.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers56c54,124$30,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,159.662,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Detroit Tigers57c49,245$28,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,147.823738%90 W · 147 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Detroit Tigers57c38,999$22,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,112.2588349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Detroit Tigers57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,10013340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Detroit Tigers56c30,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9923351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Detroit Tigers57c27,761$15,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,823.584156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers57c15,725$8,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,963.3798349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Detroit Tigers57c15,219$8,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,672.3877153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers57c12,943$7,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,377.613,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers58c12,667$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,316.921,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Detroit Tigers62c11,771$7,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,247.9311947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers57c10,872$6,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,223.155,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Detroit Tigers57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Detroit Tigers56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9812457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Cleveland Guardians42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.9854051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Detroit Tigers57c9,500$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415.0855052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers57c9,240$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.771,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers66c9,223$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,125.6912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers25c8,574$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.4911,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers57c8,207$4,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.771,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Detroit Tigers58c7,730$4,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,483.492554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians43c7,455$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.5690053.6%482 W · 418 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers15c7,061$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.498,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians42c6,987$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.131,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Detroit Tigers1c6,299$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers55c4,187$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.623,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians71c3,776$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.6475544.2%334 W · 421 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Detroit Tigers15c3,600$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9988446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Cleveland Guardians42c3,533$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.353743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers57c3,508$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.561,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Detroit Tigers0c3,157$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.988762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Detroit Tigers57c2,991$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.51,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers27c2,877$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.346,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers57c2,790$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.291,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Detroit Tigers57c2,222$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.541,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Cleveland Guardians45c2,081$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.446152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers58c2,042$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.652,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Tigers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Detroit Tigers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14014647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Detroit Tigers56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005450%27 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians43c1,697$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.581,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers59c1,683$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.228,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8551,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers59c1,497$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.671,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers56c1,410$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.451,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians56c1,395$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.434,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians43c1,300$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74162447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67287453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7932742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians44c1,088$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.281,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Detroit Tigers20c1,068$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.544744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Detroit Tigers56c1,057$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9275049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Detroit Tigers64c1,020$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64812446%57 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Cleveland Guardians59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Cleveland Guardians44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Detroit Tigers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Detroit Tigers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Cleveland Guardians42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Detroit Tigers58c980.93$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.948557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers57c952.47$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.911,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians52c945.54$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.749,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians42c910.43$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.146,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Detroit Tigers57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Cleveland Guardians42c861.9$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.99346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians42c794.02$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.531,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Detroit Tigers58c775.86$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45032350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Detroit Tigers59c762.68$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035056%196 W · 154 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Detroit Tigers29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8838444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Cleveland Guardians44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.822638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Cleveland Guardians69c680$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.647589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Detroit Tigers72c659.72$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4751,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Detroit Tigers56c639.29$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians30c627.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.931,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Cleveland Guardians45c618.36$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Cleveland Guardians42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34817446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers62c593.55$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.333,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Detroit Tigers64c584.2$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.244556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers62c568.06$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.131,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians42c564.29$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2946749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Detroit Tigers18c522.53$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0673949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Detroit Tigers58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Detroit Tigers58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Detroit Tigers57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Detroit Tigers71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35518067.8%122 W · 58 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers56c482$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.921,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Cleveland Guardians42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-40.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89e…d4a7backed Detroit Tigers58c465.2$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.822157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians42c459$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.222,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Detroit Tigers59c458.12$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.862049.2%305 W · 315 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5594734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians47c442.93$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1571850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Detroit Tigers56c435$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.628647.2%135 W · 151 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Detroit Tigers58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021856%122 W · 96 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Detroit Tigers57c404.33$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4711656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.