MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d259c886f4b2e83661a4384c7bd67987a0814012a5bed3cf1b70d281e04a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Detroit Tigers, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 18,128$13,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 15,437$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 5,501$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.4 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 3,060$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,373$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.82 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 2,158$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.2 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,428$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 728.12$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 642.7$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 594.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 575.84$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 564.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 496.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 351.39$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Detroit Tigers | 29c | 299$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 215.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 182.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 170.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 130.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 121.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 113.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 101.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 82.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 74.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 72.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 64.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 61.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 58.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 56.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 49.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 42.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 39.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…1d1fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 28.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 27.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 25.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.