MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6390ccc50e225bda35a48a2e361223f24d95ad53534423db57d31e4d2e033e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 8,871$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 5,780$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.4 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 54c | 3,240$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.45 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 54c | 1,810$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.4 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 1,728$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,305$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…3bd2backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Under | 50c | 947.76$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.88 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 57c | 944.45$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.64 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 867.64$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 55c | 766.47$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 710.98$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.94 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 606.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 604.81$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 590.44$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 55c | 585.69$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over | 46c | 559$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 46c | 553.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 456.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 419.14$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 48c | 410.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 400.25$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 45c | 341.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 54c | 279.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 260$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 173.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 161.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 161.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…def9backed Under | 54c | 154.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…c438backed Over | 47c | 153$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…1dd3backed Under | 17c | 86.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 77.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d004backed Under | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 57c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 49c | 44.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 41.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 42c | 32.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 31.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 54c | 30.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 27.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 55c | 27.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 27.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7fdebacked Over | 46c | 25.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 49c | 22.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 74c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.