TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c4…1d1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.59
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$275.93
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$134.91
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.13
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$6.48
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.59
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$11.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$10.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+102%+$12.26
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$19.02
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$14.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.66
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.34
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$28.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.25
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.02
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$25.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.