Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcffa6e4b00939e3202ef2d54dc5b062fb9deb3bb79324ea028b75556d8d2a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Tundra Esports | 0c | 119,433$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 26,374$11,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,496.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 16,263$8,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,798.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 10,009$5,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.93 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,900$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.94 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 6,626$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.35 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 6,556$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.83 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 6,537$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.04 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 6,015$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.55 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,521$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.28 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,453$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.33 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,153$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.55 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 4,119$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,345$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.61 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,155$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.88 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 3,009$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.4 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.14 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,907$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.08 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,799$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.43 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 2,766$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.29 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,516$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.35 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,444$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.37 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,251$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.61 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,169$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,912$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.06 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,750$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.01 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,741$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,704$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.5 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,661$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.63 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,550$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.61 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,543$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.41 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,514$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.84 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,488$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,352$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.46 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,341$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.38 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 1,328$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,310$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.78 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,200$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,162$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.77 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,162$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.27 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,078$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.21 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,067$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.02 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.52 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 899.88$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.19 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 898.47$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 874.22$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 866.95$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.43 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 848.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 733.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.75 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 668$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 655.29$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.29 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 628.77$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 614.1$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.1 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 594.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 527.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 520.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 513.52$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 490$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 474.24$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.54 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 460$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 403.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 400.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 383$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 377.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 367.29$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 357.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 343.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 322.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 319.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 317.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 312.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 305.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 305.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 281.03$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 272$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 251.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 249.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 245.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 233.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 229.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 225.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.