Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15837806a71cfe2e9c740553d5d2d461f79d17c227517ed3c5e737b32796253a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 48,078$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,077.72 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 27,475$12,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,364.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 18,025$11,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,323 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 18,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 15,917$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.36 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 14,677$8,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,218.91 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 11,892$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 10,620$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.74 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 10,520$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,846 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 9,433$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 8,888$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.28 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 8,779$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 8,348$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.97 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 8,130$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.95 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 7,228$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.63 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 6,044$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.69 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,015$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.47 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,000$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.14 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,500$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,142$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,056$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,641$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.79 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 3,193$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,171$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.66 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 3,016$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.49 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,505$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,440$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,383$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.95 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,380$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,338$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.28 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,309$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.05 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 2,269$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.34 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,243$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.76 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 2,210$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.58 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,143$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.19 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,095$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.98 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,090$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.91 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,000$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.06 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,972$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.15 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,956$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.28 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,913$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.47 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,857$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.09 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,857$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,838$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,792$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.71 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,768$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.93 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,754$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,715$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.79 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,643$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.75 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,611$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,603$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,593$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.18 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,591$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,564$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.57 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,533$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.59 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,504$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,461$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.5 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,443$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.12 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,397$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.32 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,372$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.16 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,350$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,349$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.09 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,313$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.29 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,310$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,276$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,262$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.27 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,261$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 1,259$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,250$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,220$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.99 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,200$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,191$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.87 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,187$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.32 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,186$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.39 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,153$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,148$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.03 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,145$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.99 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,129$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.61 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…6b8ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,114$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,094$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.68 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,075$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.83 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,072$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.14 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,064$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,000$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.77 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 995.44$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.63 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.