TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9897…6b8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$122.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.29
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+251.4%+$25,360.17
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,651.08
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,503.46
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$113.67
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,442Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,258
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$2,120.77
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$3,372.29
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$170.1
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$570.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$2,883.96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$788
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$181.79
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$744.51
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,979Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$2,129.93
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,669.45
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$396
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.31
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,949.99
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$514.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.