Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dae484e7f05059921f9edb8f3db3d588a5b372aec8b5d79644d78260ed47a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Disguised | 44c | 45,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.98 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 39,288$21,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,368.55 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised | 47c | 30,457$14,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,462.21 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 28,449$14,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754.1 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 24,539$18,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.51 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…1979backed Disguised | 42c | 23,875$10,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,133.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 53c | 20,246$10,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,638.66 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 19,293$10,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,619.54 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 16,547$7,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,689.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 11,874$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.94 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Disguised | 46c | 11,291$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.14 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 9,561$6,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.06 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 8,202$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.4 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Disguised | 55c | 8,173$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.88 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 7,410$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.95 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Disguised | 45c | 6,219$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.05 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 5,977$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 47c | 5,558$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.23 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.99 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 4,328$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.54 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 4,000$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.1 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 35c | 3,846$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.6 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 3,624$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.32 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5cd8backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 3,503$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 3,480$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.65 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 3,470$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.02 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Disguised | 55c | 3,103$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.58 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Disguised | 8c | 3,043$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Disguised | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 3,000$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.99 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Disguised | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 2,590$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.5 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663f…d329backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 2,300$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.18 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.8 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.23 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 1,840$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.7 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 1,808$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.02 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 1,796$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 1,786$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.41 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Disguised | 48c | 1,777$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Disguised | 35c | 1,748$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 47c | 1,699$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.24 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 44c | 1,518$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.31 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Disguised | 44c | 1,500$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.45 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Disguised | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Disguised | 60c | 1,471$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.59 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Disguised | 57c | 1,460$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.51 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Disguised | 45c | 1,413$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.36 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 1,400$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.42 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…be49backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 1,366$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.68 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Disguised | 45c | 1,310$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.32 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 1,308$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Disguised | 45c | 1,243$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.45 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 1,181$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.51 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.28 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,176$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.72 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Disguised | 51c | 1,088$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.86 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Disguised | 46c | 1,048$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Disguised | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Disguised | 21c | 980$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 930.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.67 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 907.27$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.27 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed Disguised | 56c | 884.25$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 852.77$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.04 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…1ca3backed Disguised | 66c | 832.32$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.33 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 820.2$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Disguised | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 798.14$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 795.94$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.41 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 735.74$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 732.69$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.17 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 723.07$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 707.2$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 704$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.17 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 42c | 700$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Shopify Rebellion | 65c | 690.01$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.74 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 681.85$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 676.39$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.89 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 666$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.84 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Disguised | 45c | 649.54$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.51 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 616.49$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 611.37$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.42 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Disguised | 44c | 588.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…1a61backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 550.48$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 545.75$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.85 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Disguised | 44c | 515.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…34e1backed Disguised | 46c | 506.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…6b8ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Disguised | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 492$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.89 | 219 | 40.6%89 W · 130 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Disguised | 69c | 492$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.