Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a4308befc8f999824bf1db0c98d0c3477add740def5d7fb54d0c1702223097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 45,758$27,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,884.32 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…1979backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 35,180$21,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,072.09 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Disguised | 31c | 27,000$8,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,276.05 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Disguised | 39c | 25,200$9,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,828 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…be49backed Disguised | 2c | 23,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised | 40c | 16,858$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.79 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Disguised | 29c | 16,319$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.51 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 14,840$10,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.03 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Disguised | 38c | 14,803$5,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,628.32 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 39c | 11,111$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.29 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Disguised | 38c | 10,955$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 29c | 10,165$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.48 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Disguised | 11c | 10,124$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.46 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 9,677$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.42 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 6,093$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.68 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Disguised | 40c | 4,613$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 4,000$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.7 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 3,681$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.83 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Disguised | 40c | 3,440$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Disguised | 33c | 3,220$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.99 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…baafbacked Disguised | 1c | 2,880$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Disguised | 41c | 2,800$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.42 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised | 39c | 2,739$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.92 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 2,168$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.17 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Disguised | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Disguised | 46c | 1,894$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.44 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Disguised | 43c | 1,740$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.18 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Disguised | 29c | 1,718$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.42 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…1ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 1,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Disguised | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Disguised | 2c | 1,450$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 1,362$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.05 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 1,345$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.77 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…00e9backed Disguised | 4c | 1,340$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Disguised | 2c | 1,308$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Disguised | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…8b41backed Disguised | 19c | 1,249$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 1,198$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Disguised | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.69 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,097$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 1,092$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.15 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,085$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 1,078$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.87 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…135bbacked Disguised | 13c | 1,062$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 1,018$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.76 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Disguised | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Disguised | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 856.08$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 43c | 850$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 833.79$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.53 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 72c | 804.2$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 800$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Disguised | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…34e1backed Disguised | 42c | 715.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 712.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.79 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4641…26bebacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 708.78$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.09 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 635.61$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 615$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 42c | 580.19$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Disguised | 46c | 537$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Disguised | 43c | 516.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Disguised | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…2678backed Disguised | 9c | 480.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Disguised | 40c | 470$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 31c | 417.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Disguised | 24c | 408.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed Disguised | 12c | 408.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 407$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed Disguised | 40c | 400.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 397.8$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shopify Rebellion | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…c49bbacked Disguised | 40c | 378.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…184cbacked Disguised | 12c | 347.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Disguised | 20c | 343.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5cd8backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 341$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 339.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 329.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Disguised | 45c | 323.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 855 | 54.7%468 W · 387 L | +33.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Disguised | 45c | 311.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…1a61backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Disguised | 7c | 285.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 273.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 265.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 265.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 240.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 229.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 218.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.