Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067254b1b48a66f5d6736e850dfcf7ac8ddfcf1918ec678449af7b90e2b55903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Disguised | 43c | 44,666$19,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,253.11 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 40,435$23,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,387.21 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Disguised | 45c | 18,680$8,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.82 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised | 45c | 5,959$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.67 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Disguised | 44c | 4,853$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.38 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 3,587$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.59 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 30c | 3,060$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.45 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Disguised | 47c | 2,695$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.04 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 2,187$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.62 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.44 | 409 | 33.7%138 W · 271 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Disguised | 9c | 1,904$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 269 | 50.9%137 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 1,770$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.6 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 1,611$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.14 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,563$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.69 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 45c | 1,550$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.5 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 19c | 1,421$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 824 | 54.9%452 W · 372 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885b…a30dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 1,225$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Disguised | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.45 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 1,018$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…6340backed Disguised | 50c | 963.15$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Disguised | 37c | 900$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 770.71$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…fc9bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 715.21$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +420.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 712.96$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.97 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 687.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Disguised | 44c | 569.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Disguised | 44c | 560.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 503.69$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.44 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 500.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Disguised | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked Disguised | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 497.03$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Disguised | 28c | 492.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…dcc2backed Disguised | 44c | 447$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 444.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 429.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Disguised | 30c | 414.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 405.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 390.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 345.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 348 | 60.9%212 W · 136 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 330.3$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Disguised | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 282.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Disguised | 39c | 270.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 267$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 389 | 63%245 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 262.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Disguised | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Disguised | 6c | 242.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Disguised | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Disguised | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Disguised | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Disguised | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 214.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Disguised | 43c | 208$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 204.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Disguised | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…2678backed Disguised | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Disguised | 43c | 198.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Disguised | 40c | 197$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 289 | 38.4%111 W · 178 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 195.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 189$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Disguised | 48c | 167.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Disguised | 31c | 167.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Disguised | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 142$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 162 | 38.9%63 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Disguised | 44c | 130.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 535 | 32.3%173 W · 362 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 127.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 127$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 122.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 121.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 121.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 119$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Disguised | 22c | 108.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 103.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 388 | 51.3%199 W · 189 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 89.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 29c | 82.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00b…eae1backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…e923backed Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 75.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 70.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…cbc2backed Disguised | 44c | 69.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.