TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa11…e3c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.87
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.28
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.77
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$156.67
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.39
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,110.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.63
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.94
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$320.83
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$289.72
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.9
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$510.95
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$43.93
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$177.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$212.93
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$279.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$173.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$573.57
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51%+$127.61
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$23.65
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.46
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.