TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof T1, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe548…a9febacked KT Rolster49c26,529$13,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,439.3117555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T149c15,857$7,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,770.0996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked KT Rolster48c13,526$6,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0156338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked KT Rolster50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed T150c9,466$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked KT Rolster47c8,813$4,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.6414342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T153c8,623$4,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,540.731,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked KT Rolster48c7,452$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.236155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed T150c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+88.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed T153c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3859534.7%33 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked KT Rolster51c4,314$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.733525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed T150c4,100$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0502532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked T155c3,947$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.081931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed T151c3,311$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.892,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed KT Rolster43c3,130$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.752,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked T153c3,019$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed KT Rolster47c2,765$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.7512840.6%52 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked T157c2,202$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.525749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed T152c2,103$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.8131953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked KT Rolster48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3326155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed KT Rolster48c2,079$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.8412642.9%54 W · 72 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed T150c2,000$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00582454.9%452 W · 372 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T155c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed KT Rolster49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked T150c1,971$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.560445.4%274 W · 330 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked T151c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018459.8%110 W · 74 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked T155c1,799$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.4335848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed T154c1,659$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.3516547.3%78 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed KT Rolster44c1,592$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8229347.8%140 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked T155c1,570$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.9210547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T118c1,541$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.632,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked T169c1,441$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.2821948.4%106 W · 113 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa11…e3c0backed T155c1,230$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.397335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8a…bbf4backed T154c1,170$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.792948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked KT Rolster49c1,135$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.663344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked T153c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012246.7%57 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed T149c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.383951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked KT Rolster50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50088950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed T152c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked KT Rolster50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50034244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed T154c999.96$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9863546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed T153c907.17$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.810441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked T154c905.53$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9925268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked KT Rolster41c895.18$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.1875630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster45c887.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.41,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked T155c883.43$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.899040%36 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked KT Rolster48c850$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7829738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked T151c844.83$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.8659148.2%285 W · 306 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed KT Rolster46c824.99$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.514339.2%56 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed KT Rolster38c802.89$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.3697254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked KT Rolster46c728.51$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8734151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d40…5739backed T156c716.63$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009848%47 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked T155c712.56$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.915653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6455…2604backed T157c710$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.717961.5%110 W · 69 L+15.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked T153c704.83$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5615441.6%64 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked T151c699.97$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.986352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked T150c645.33$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6624832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed T152c625$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3255030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked T151c592.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked T152c564.93$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1735642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b0…293fbacked T157c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked KT Rolster52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24048847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5844…5bd4backed KT Rolster49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed KT Rolster49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked T149c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5102…7b08backed KT Rolster50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T152c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed T153c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9962151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed T150c495.85$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed KT Rolster49c490$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.921051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked T156c478.94$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.982,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed KT Rolster47c472.13$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.231,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed T156c445.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed KT Rolster47c434$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.021,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked T153c430.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22822751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed T152c424.08$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.934568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2730…0e0abacked KT Rolster51c415.45$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7374…f266backed T156c412.09$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305639.3%22 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed T152c405.62$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0346148.8%225 W · 236 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed KT Rolster46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2164344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed KT Rolster51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1655145%248 W · 303 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafc…70e3backed T151c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed KT Rolster45c369.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.491,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed T154c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18911567.8%78 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked T154c339.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.334052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed T161c326.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1164453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked KT Rolster47c324.79$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.143438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked KT Rolster49c300.09$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8237343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked T150c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed KT Rolster49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed T151c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15338851.3%199 W · 189 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed T151c297.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6213933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed T124c288.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.69537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T153c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15076047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked T153c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked KT Rolster47c272.8$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8144544.9%200 W · 245 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked KT Rolster48c259.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9427644.9%124 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked T150c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed T150c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked KT Rolster51c216.67$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.171926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.