Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbcb0a307abebf9a0d2a39675cc81b3b5034b743ed111f9559de9302cbd5e6a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 1,321$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.1 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 850.58$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 61c | 796.54$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 61c | 761$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 50c | 635.87$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 60c | 599.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 75c | 522.42$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 61c | 510.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 80c | 347.28$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 39c | 294.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed Under | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 41c | 219.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 40c | 214.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 210.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Over | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Over | 43c | 208.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 202.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 194.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 55c | 182.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 171.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 40c | 162.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 35c | 153.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Over | 66c | 150.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 60c | 140.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 38c | 138.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 67c | 131$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 55c | 125.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 57c | 125.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Over | 40c | 120.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f862backed Under | 60c | 116.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 54c | 114.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Over | 42c | 114.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 60c | 109.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 66c | 108$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 39c | 96.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 67c | 91.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 84.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…7ec7backed Under | 29c | 81.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +559.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 59c | 79.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 60c | 74.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 51c | 70.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 54.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 50c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…4d5abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 49c | 51.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 39c | 50.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…0102backed Over | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Over | 41c | 42.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 40c | 41.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed Under | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7bfdbacked Under | 34c | 38.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 29c | 37.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 50c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…2c9cbacked Over | 49c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.