TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba67…7ec7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+694.6%+$93.77
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.11
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.73
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$58.69
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$116.77
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.52
France vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
France vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.22
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$100.26
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$30.98
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.79
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$18.62
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$6.64
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$8.88
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.34
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$60.75
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.6
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.48
Will Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick12cpaid+559.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.9
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked BALU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.