Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31fd5aa588b6b07626c7979283a91eb2f3cedcc3f1bad3a3a79a584a634f50fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof BALU, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed BALU | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…7ec7backed BALU | 1c | 1,991$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed BALU | 24c | 1,445$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Team Syntax | 73c | 1,357$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax | 79c | 1,259$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 1,072$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BALU | 19c | 1,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked BALU | 26c | 949.09$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BALU | 17c | 803.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BALU | 20c | 802.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked BALU | 2c | 645.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BALU | 14c | 627.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Syntax | 79c | 540.81$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Syntax | 80c | 508$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked BALU | 10c | 478.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed BALU | 22c | 459.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BALU | 19c | 450.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed BALU | 20c | 440.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BALU | 18c | 408.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Team Syntax | 80c | 311.75$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…218bbacked BALU | 30c | 256.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Team Syntax | 80c | 235$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed BALU | 24c | 225.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BALU | 19c | 221.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Team Syntax | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked BALU | 27c | 178.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed BALU | 30c | 135.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed BALU | 28c | 126.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Team Syntax | 72c | 117.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BALU | 20c | 114.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BALU | 17c | 114.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 104.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed BALU | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed BALU | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Syntax | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed BALU | 20c | 96.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BALU | 18c | 94.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 81.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed BALU | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked BALU | 19c | 78.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BALU | 27c | 78.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed BALU | 20c | 64.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BALU | 17c | 61.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Team Syntax | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed BALU | 29c | 50.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BALU | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Team Syntax | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Team Syntax | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Team Syntax | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…89adbacked BALU | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…bec0backed Team Syntax | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Syntax | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Syntax | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Team Syntax | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Team Syntax | 80c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Team Syntax | 79c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Game Handicap: STX (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)Team Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.