TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof BALU, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax70c9,067$6,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.7271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked BALU22c8,905$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.1732549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BALU30c7,200$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.9880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BALU34c6,017$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0591,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed BALU10c5,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9918143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BALU29c3,674$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.9496557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed BALU1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Syntax79c1,807$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.1710551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BALU30c1,718$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.5361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Team Syntax68c1,676$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.783562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax73c1,650$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.161,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed BALU30c1,552$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5217757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax70c1,429$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax73c1,406$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7450353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed BALU37c1,355$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed BALU31c1,215$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6515650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed BALU9c1,200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10251544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed BALU28c1,061$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9841455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Team Syntax70c1,056$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9319458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax65c1,009$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4910961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed BALU16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked BALU32c859.22$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9511758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax76c858.94$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5379959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Team Syntax76c765$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7515639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax70c755.31$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.371,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed BALU30c720$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21625359.3%150 W · 103 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BALU30c689.74$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked BALU31c672.73$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.843330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed BALU30c648$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3911753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax74c544.92$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.191,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed BALU3c505.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.73323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax69c490.31$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.542,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Team Syntax75c458.07$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0710566.7%70 W · 35 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Team Syntax75c448.25$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0612065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Syntax76c416.51$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2314655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Syntax66c402.67$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7865647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Team Syntax67c401.41$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Syntax78c398.31$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7147046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed BALU24c397.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0620820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked BALU24c388$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.570236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed BALU30c343.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7221158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BALU19c339.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.679859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Team Syntax69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8615848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team Syntax78c262.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0126147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax65c239.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0389238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Syntax67c206.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Syntax77c183$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.092857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax65c174$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.666545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed BALU29c140$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409156%51 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team Syntax74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1414856.8%84 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked BALU32c134.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1530054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Syntax77c108.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.668961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Team Syntax79c101.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.354944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BALU22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9678516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed Team Syntax75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256863.2%43 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Syntax73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BALU21c99.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed BALU29c94.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.827055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BALU26c90.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.768345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed BALU36c84.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked BALU30c80.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Syntax69c78.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3423149.4%114 W · 117 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed BALU28c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed BALU23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8481345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fa…2c2ebacked BALU29c65.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.733828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Team Syntax78c64.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.435275%39 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Team Syntax72c61.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2421769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked BALU31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.558250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054e…51bdbacked Team Syntax80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed BALU27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…cf1abacked BALU29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.630458.6%178 W · 126 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Team Syntax79c38.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax71c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7315551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Syntax74c33.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7916055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked BALU32c32.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5230255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed BALU32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106759.7%40 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Team Syntax70c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.556149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax75c26.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Syntax56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7921344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Team Syntax65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Team Syntax73c19.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Team Syntax67c15.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Team Syntax69c15.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6811169.4%77 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Syntax71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3512263.9%78 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed Team Syntax69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.653762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.