Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c1d88a182e34adc3e2f34cad22086241e1142087b958f6ca81824c4c4e2b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof BALU, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked BALU | 31c | 3,190$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.23 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed BALU | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed BALU | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax | 69c | 1,516$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.87 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax | 68c | 1,312$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.67 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax | 55c | 1,222$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.9 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed BALU | 2c | 1,150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax | 70c | 1,098$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.37 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked BALU | 29c | 1,068$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.72 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BALU | 27c | 954.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax | 66c | 866.06$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 660$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax | 55c | 640$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed BALU | 21c | 603$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax | 68c | 551.38$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Team Syntax | 70c | 485.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Syntax | 72c | 432.81$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BALU | 28c | 412$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Syntax | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax | 71c | 384.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed BALU | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BALU | 31c | 338.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BALU | 29c | 333$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Team Syntax | 76c | 332.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BALU | 35c | 313.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked BALU | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked BALU | 30c | 295.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Team Syntax | 76c | 279.87$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Syntax | 68c | 276.31$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed BALU | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Team Syntax | 69c | 241.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed BALU | 25c | 238.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed BALU | 40c | 209.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Syntax | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 73c | 194.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed BALU | 37c | 190.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 70c | 176.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Syntax | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed BALU | 12c | 117.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…d7bebacked BALU | 36c | 115.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Syntax | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Syntax | 71c | 101.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked BALU | 26c | 98.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax | 70c | 93.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed BALU | 28c | 89.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed BALU | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Team Syntax | 69c | 68.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Syntax | 73c | 60.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Syntax | 71c | 60.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Team Syntax | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed BALU | 31c | 42.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed BALU | 26c | 42.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 40.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Syntax | 78c | 36.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Syntax | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 65c | 29.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Syntax | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax | 60c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Syntax | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Team Syntax | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group BTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: BALU vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Game Handicap: STX (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)Team Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.