TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39ea…bec0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Cbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Abacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38%+$6.46
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$4.37
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.38
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.51
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.77
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.79
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Fatima Kline · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$9.7
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Damian Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick78cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.4%+$21.67
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+31.6%+$21.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.58
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$101
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.