MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d918f88f4a0251ab795a381ad4c44cd3d5871bf2f2de92c2e9bebfdecb4758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Arizona Diamondbacks, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 46,109$33,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,132.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 38,952$14,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,022.72 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 30,367$19,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,235.97 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 21,019$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.97 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 9,000$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 7,151$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 6,617$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 5,689$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 4,844$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.75 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 2,669$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.86 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 2,621$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.25 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,242$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.14 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 2,009$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 1,730$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,593$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,583$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,561$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.29 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,493$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,480$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 1,319$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,025$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.14 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…7ff9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 938.73$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 928.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 840$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 833.66$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.66 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 796.04$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 742.52$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 667.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 643.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 439.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 420$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 412.84$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 379.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 360$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 320$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 317.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 293.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 292.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 283.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 279.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 263$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 235$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 227.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 211.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 200.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 180$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 178.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 160.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 154.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 147.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…5480backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 143.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 126.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…3f5bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 44%111 W · 141 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…8507backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 115.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 115.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 113.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 112.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 109.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 106.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.