TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dcb…9f08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT20635.9%74 W · 132 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.33
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Cerundolobacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
ITF Slobozia: Radu David Turcanu vs Ilya Snitaribacked Radu David Turcanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
ITF Slobozia: Semen Aginskiy vs Oleksandr Ovcharenkobacked Semen Aginskiy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs JiaYi Wangbacked Maria Kalyakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.86
Lincoln (Doubles): Martinez/Sheehy vs Lammons/Withrowbacked Martinez/Sheehy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 1 Winner: Vukic vs Galarneaubacked Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$57.24
Set 1 Winner: Santillan vs Valientebacked Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Geabacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 1 Winner: Dzumhur vs Molcanbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Holmgren vs Boulaisbacked Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs Bejlekbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Bunschoten: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkesbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$71.15
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 1 Winner: Sekulic vs Cassonebacked Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Tsitsipasbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Athens Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneevabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Zhengbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Set 1 Winner: Valentova vs Korneevabacked Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Iasi Open (Doubles): Kempen/Panova vs Charaeva/Kulambayevabacked Kempen/Panova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winnerbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: SNITKO Esports vs unknowns - Map 2 Winnerbacked SNITKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alpha Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alpha Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked DXA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN - Map 2 Winnerbacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs QoR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$63.95
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: DRX Academy vs T1 Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs FUSION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUSION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 2 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.41
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+369.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+369.2%+$174.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.