Tennis · resolved market
ITF Slobozia: Semen Aginskiy vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be4898073947a9fb00dfdd42c51462561e1d1c71ac7968acc09cf744f69b112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksandr Ovcharenkoof Semen Aginskiy, Oleksandr Ovcharenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Semen Aginskiy | 17c | 3,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 380 | 38.2%145 W · 235 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Semen Aginskiy | 9c | 1,216$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Semen Aginskiy | 14c | 1,079$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Semen Aginskiy | 17c | 576.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Semen Aginskiy | 12c | 540.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Semen Aginskiy | 24c | 335.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 76c | 249.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 80c | 232.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Semen Aginskiy | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…9433backed Semen Aginskiy | 6c | 161.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Semen Aginskiy | 13c | 134.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 79c | 114.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 79c | 102.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Semen Aginskiy | 18c | 100.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Semen Aginskiy | 21c | 65.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Semen Aginskiy | 23c | 65.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Semen Aginskiy | 18c | 58.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Semen Aginskiy | 20c | 51.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 78c | 34.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 79c | 34.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 79c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.