TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of Nuclear TigeRES, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES24c4,308$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.863457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed K2765c4,227$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.4215264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuclear TigeRES52c3,000$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.91,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nuclear TigeRES19c1,991$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.222,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2764c1,254$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.264,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked K2767c1,014$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0432348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Nuclear TigeRES1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107464.9%48 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Nuclear TigeRES1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x185f…acc1backed Nuclear TigeRES39c800$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.71668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2776c733.99$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.666,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked K2747c554.06$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.656744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed Nuclear TigeRES15c509.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.459040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Nuclear TigeRES36c460.23$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.515449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Nuclear TigeRES32c449.19$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3619548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nuclear TigeRES24c434.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.022,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES28c434$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.953,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed K2756c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1766456.3%36 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed K2751c391.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3622654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Nuclear TigeRES55c363.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005054%27 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed K2755c363.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4320156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES32c360.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.424,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked K2747c339.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.18537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Nuclear TigeRES33c320$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES35c283$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.995,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Nuclear TigeRES35c280.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked K2775c277.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2940972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked K2763c224$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES50c204.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.255435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Nuclear TigeRES29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Nuclear TigeRES53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Nuclear TigeRES54c168.4$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.945246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Nuclear TigeRES12c165.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nuclear TigeRES24c163.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.432,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked K2756c140.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7639847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed K2774c135.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3311155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Nuclear TigeRES30c133.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuclear TigeRES34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Nuclear TigeRES41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8885…7712backed Nuclear TigeRES24c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Nuclear TigeRES41c119.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.815046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed K2763c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.622256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nuclear TigeRES26c98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.661,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed K2756c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked K2776c89.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Nuclear TigeRES54c86.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.253644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked Nuclear TigeRES55c86.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.275052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Nuclear TigeRES55c86.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.935455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed K2772c86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0815277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1342…7ddebacked Nuclear TigeRES16c83.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Nuclear TigeRES43c78.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6638259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Nuclear TigeRES19c77.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5164046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2760c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nuclear TigeRES20c69.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES30c68.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Nuclear TigeRES23c65.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Nuclear TigeRES40c57.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8531845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuclear TigeRES25c53.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.183,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed K2759c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3219329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed Nuclear TigeRES27c51.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143450%17 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nuclear TigeRES34c50.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8596743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Nuclear TigeRES31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked K2768c47.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9236174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…285dbacked K2766c37.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.732839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x701c…db31backed Nuclear TigeRES42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked K2765c35.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.222,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES36c33.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9168172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked K2751c31.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.597150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed K2741c30.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1227748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked K2745c29.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5619954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES42c29.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Nuclear TigeRES40c28.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4123956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…5fa9backed K2773c27.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.32871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed K2773c21.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9231662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed K2771c14.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0970242.2%296 W · 406 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.