TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed K2735c1,872$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.544,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed K2727c1,842$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.471,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2730c1,817$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.952,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Nuclear TigeRES62c1,601$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.1732348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Nuclear TigeRES53c1,577$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.881,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked K2745c1,313$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4419546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed K271c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES69c997.58$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.553,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Nuclear TigeRES55c888.93$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.075836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed K2743c732.08$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3147464.9%48 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES69c718.84$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.386,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed K2743c666.17$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.822,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2731c641.69$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.625,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed K2733c571.27$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2714749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Nuclear TigeRES63c477$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17738552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES67c476.22$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.252,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2750c472.57$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked K2737c449.64$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.433,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Nuclear TigeRES79c449.15$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2936645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked K2742c442.01$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.893,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Nuclear TigeRES60c421.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed K2745c410.42$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Nuclear TigeRES80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8020462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed K2727c386.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.272,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked K2740c382.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.282,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Nuclear TigeRES66c369.87$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9662738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Nuclear TigeRES57c363.66$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0185851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Nuclear TigeRES49c335.71$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.333340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked K2720c308$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.626546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Nuclear TigeRES75c268.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3122253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked K2724c268.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked Nuclear TigeRES57c256$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.082944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES58c227$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3425651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked K2741c211.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.042,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2736c210.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.323,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Nuclear TigeRES48c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Nuclear TigeRES52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9630348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec61…f8a1backed K2712c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed K2727c185.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Nuclear TigeRES54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9637949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Nuclear TigeRES64c155.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9839847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Nuclear TigeRES55c151.37$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5830450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Nuclear TigeRES73c149$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5815277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Nuclear TigeRES72c138.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2749766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe508…b5efbacked K2743c127.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked K2739c126.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed K2725c124.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.292,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked K2736c124$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.411,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Nuclear TigeRES49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.458248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed K2751c122.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.452,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Nuclear TigeRES49c112.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Nuclear TigeRES50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Nuclear TigeRES43c101.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8215264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked K2748c100.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.071,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed K2727c94.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7116023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1342…7ddebacked K2715c91.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked K2742c87.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.122,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Nuclear TigeRES61c82.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6349651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed K2741c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.312,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES43c80.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.431,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nuclear TigeRES70c80.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.092,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked K2738c78.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked K2716c76.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3126653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Nuclear TigeRES54c72.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4135148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Nuclear TigeRES61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.368753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Nuclear TigeRES61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5720156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked K2717c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8536434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nuclear TigeRES48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Nuclear TigeRES63c55.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed K2727c55.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES54c52.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.834,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…3b06backed K2728c51.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed K2755c48.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked K2749c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.529430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…285dbacked K2749c46.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed K2743c46.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.119329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES50c42.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.081,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Nuclear TigeRES53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed K2736c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…17e6backed K2750c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Nuclear TigeRES76c39.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.486457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Nuclear TigeRES46c39.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0319142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Nuclear TigeRES53c37.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.717250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Nuclear TigeRES65c37.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0822654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked K2756c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204143.9%18 W · 23 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a6f…8063backed Nuclear TigeRES46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.757132.4%23 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Nuclear TigeRES79c34.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.153080%24 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Nuclear TigeRES61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2650358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked Nuclear TigeRES61c32.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8411345.1%51 W · 62 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Nuclear TigeRES61c31.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2232662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed K2751c30.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.628344.6%37 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Nuclear TigeRES62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed K2744c29.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed K2751c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b4…88dfbacked Nuclear TigeRES59c29.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.115166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Nuclear TigeRES49c28.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.388549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed Nuclear TigeRES53c26.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4431662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…b2ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.754571.1%32 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Nuclear TigeRES65c21.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked Nuclear TigeRES57c20.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9810659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.