Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs QoR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a5f45c4b5850fa2d81b8d7824f66b5eb08c66cec6bcba55fe54f4602994a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nightblood Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nightblood Gaming | 43c | 952.33$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.84 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QoR | 20c | 905.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed QoR | 75c | 867.14$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 592.9$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.98 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 330.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed QoR | 63c | 198.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QoR | 55c | 182.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QoR | 57c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…5910backed QoR | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 29c | 153$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed QoR | 69c | 101.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked QoR | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed QoR | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…a3c1backed Nightblood Gaming | 30c | 82.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked QoR | 59c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Nightblood Gaming | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QoR | 55c | 66.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…dbe6backed Nightblood Gaming | 31c | 63.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QoR | 55c | 61.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QoR | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Nightblood Gaming | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed QoR | 61c | 49.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 48.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked QoR | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked QoR | 55c | 38.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked QoR | 52c | 32.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed QoR | 53c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QoR | 58c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed QoR | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked QoR | 61c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed QoR | 71c | 15.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs QoR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageNightblood Gaming won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs QoR - Map 2 WinnerNightblood Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.