CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x124095e2ecfd981d349351c542bb8cfddae9e9d58a3eafbc83f6e49f92dd0df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INFURITY Gamingof INFURITY Gaming, Alpha Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed INFURITY Gaming | 78c | 5,705$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alpha Gaming | 40c | 817.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.66 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed Alpha Gaming | 32c | 700$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Alpha Gaming | 19c | 635$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alpha Gaming | 20c | 595.64$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alpha Gaming | 9c | 491$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Alpha Gaming | 26c | 458.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed INFURITY Gaming | 68c | 443.31$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Alpha Gaming | 11c | 436$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alpha Gaming | 19c | 313.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Alpha Gaming | 31c | 281.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Alpha Gaming | 23c | 270$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Alpha Gaming | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Alpha Gaming | 31c | 205.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Alpha Gaming | 35c | 175.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Alpha Gaming | 17c | 171.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Alpha Gaming | 14c | 167.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alpha Gaming | 7c | 151.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked INFURITY Gaming | 78c | 94.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa688…e0b3backed Alpha Gaming | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Alpha Gaming | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed INFURITY Gaming | 58c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alpha Gaming | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked INFURITY Gaming | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed INFURITY Gaming | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked INFURITY Gaming | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked INFURITY Gaming | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Alpha Gaming | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group CINFURITY Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 1 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.