Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd922627ecab55e4a7f4749d2920cd02d7246e3aa8983b8589344e8dc433afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Grind Back, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Mentality Monster | 35c | 5,800$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.26 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Grind Back | 71c | 5,639$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.54 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Grind Back | 66c | 2,000$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.04 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mentality Monster | 21c | 1,190$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Mentality Monster | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Mentality Monster | 31c | 989.12$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.63 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Mentality Monster | 74c | 913.19$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.41 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Mentality Monster | 46c | 911.78$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.19 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Mentality Monster | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mentality Monster | 13c | 721.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mentality Monster | 21c | 702.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Mentality Monster | 28c | 693.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mentality Monster | 34c | 672.71$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.72 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Mentality Monster | 5c | 634$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Grind Back | 34c | 557.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.58 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grind Back | 48c | 541.44$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Mentality Monster | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Mentality Monster | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Mentality Monster | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Mentality Monster | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Mentality Monster | 40c | 490.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Grind Back | 74c | 449.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back | 56c | 422.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Mentality Monster | 27c | 411.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Grind Back | 54c | 381.55$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Grind Back | 56c | 356.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Mentality Monster | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 64c | 346.89$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Mentality Monster | 57c | 298.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Mentality Monster | 24c | 290.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Grind Back | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Mentality Monster | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mentality Monster | 18c | 232$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grind Back | 47c | 226$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grind Back | 47c | 220.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Mentality Monster | 20c | 207.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Mentality Monster | 28c | 193.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Grind Back | 45c | 190$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Grind Back | 64c | 190$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Mentality Monster | 16c | 189.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Grind Back | 50c | 181.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Mentality Monster | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mentality Monster | 18c | 157.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grind Back | 38c | 156.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Grind Back | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mentality Monster | 24c | 131.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Mentality Monster | 13c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Grind Back | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mentality Monster | 17c | 103$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…f7c6backed Grind Back | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590d…28f3backed Mentality Monster | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Mentality Monster | 16c | 98.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Mentality Monster | 50c | 97.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…9cd3backed Grind Back | 53c | 94.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Mentality Monster | 67c | 94.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mentality Monster | 27c | 93.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grind Back | 57c | 88.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Mentality Monster | 23c | 85.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Mentality Monster | 14c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Mentality Monster | 14c | 79.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…25ffbacked Grind Back | 40c | 75.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Mentality Monster | 20c | 74.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Grind Back | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Grind Back | 45c | 64.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Mentality Monster | 20c | 64.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Mentality Monster | 21c | 61.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mentality Monster | 18c | 60.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Mentality Monster | 25c | 56.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb41…2f4bbacked Grind Back | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Mentality Monster | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Mentality Monster | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Grind Back | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Grind Back | 47c | 33.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…1ad3backed Grind Back | 73c | 31.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Grind Back | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Grind Back | 65c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Mentality Monster | 44c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a420backed Grind Back | 73c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Grind Back | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Grind Back | 67c | 20.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Grind Back | 70c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…f3efbacked Grind Back | 71c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Grind Back | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.