TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Golden State Valkyries71c41,775$29,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,114.811754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Washington Mystics29c17,500$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,07514450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Mystics27c14,245$3,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.5134726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Golden State Valkyries70c13,934$9,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,193.33956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries72c13,827$9,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.6378548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics31c12,394$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.891,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries78c11,580$9,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.5999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Golden State Valkyries71c9,810$6,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Washington Mystics0c9,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Mystics1c8,203$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0210923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics28c7,818$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.7289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics22c6,638$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.5512144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked Washington Mystics16c6,165$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics30c6,151$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.1440550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics31c5,726$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.9483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries76c4,522$3,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9350952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics29c4,232$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.1819458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics22c3,930$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.3838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries78c3,688$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.211,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Washington Mystics30c3,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Golden State Valkyries68c3,222$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.072751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Washington Mystics31c3,129$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9707236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries68c2,920$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.8229654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Washington Mystics29c2,906$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.117638.2%29 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Washington Mystics29c2,500$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.54020%8 W · 32 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Golden State Valkyries78c2,193$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.3615654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Mystics1c2,147$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Mystics32c2,013$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.2114452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Mystics23c1,822$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7719428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics23c1,822$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.0650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries72c1,675$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1123245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Mystics18c1,672$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.831043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Washington Mystics15c1,639$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.185149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Washington Mystics23c1,426$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.137520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Golden State Valkyries71c1,339$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0114346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Washington Mystics25c1,175$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.237150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Washington Mystics32c1,173$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.963531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics25c1,051$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6823955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Washington Mystics26c1,019$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.211351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries68c1,017$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries69c944.88$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6832049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Washington Mystics23c944.77$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1118746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Golden State Valkyries77c903$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.788960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Washington Mystics33c887.98$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.818733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…2576backed Washington Mystics22c871.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Washington Mystics25c799.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics30c789.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9174942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Washington Mystics14c752.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.137431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Washington Mystics32c711.04$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.489146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Washington Mystics30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics30c618.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5632743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Washington Mystics9c617.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.129444.7%42 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Golden State Valkyries71c610.37$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4217656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Washington Mystics32c559.6$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.946640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries80c525.11$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Mystics24c516.88$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0530347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Mystics28c508$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2412751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Washington Mystics32c450.59$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe342…b692backed Golden State Valkyries67c420$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics20c412.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3241147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Golden State Valkyries72c404.88$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.883762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Golden State Valkyries71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1168657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Mystics33c395.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4436454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Golden State Valkyries76c386$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.067360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Golden State Valkyries73c377.27$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.971872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Washington Mystics35c373.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4131448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Mystics31c361.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.465642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Mystics13c356.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9910634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Golden State Valkyries76c352$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.494252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Mystics30c347$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.036643.9%29 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Washington Mystics25c340.03$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics32c335.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Golden State Valkyries77c325.72$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.893680.6%29 W · 7 L+8.2wins+0.23per pick58cpaid+48.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xceca…4800backed Washington Mystics31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Golden State Valkyries62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5812234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Washington Mystics33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Washington Mystics10c300.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2515748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Golden State Valkyries71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d6c2backed Washington Mystics29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Washington Mystics4c299.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5390%0 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Golden State Valkyries71c289.57$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.984751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries67c283.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5837850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Washington Mystics32c283.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.657746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Golden State Valkyries73c269.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7513844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Golden State Valkyries72c264$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.77368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Golden State Valkyries70c259.06$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.876969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Mystics12c248$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7919031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Washington Mystics29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Mystics24c240$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Golden State Valkyries69c236.93$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3936750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics33c217$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8130649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Washington Mystics32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Washington Mystics8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Golden State Valkyries79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Washington Mystics31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries70c159.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6261042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Washington Mystics29c158$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8218441.8%77 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Mystics17c153.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3316633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Washington Mystics30c153.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Golden State Valkyries77c150.59$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9912359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.