WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb301eebcd037f2663ab98f4408d81cbf2aa191b49f8f466f3e18d0d1648678a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 3,380$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 2,208$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.38 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Washington Mystics | 33c | 1,104$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…ee81backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 1,095$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 942.09$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 815.46$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 751.68$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 422.63$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 259.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 113.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 66.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 51.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 31.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 30.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…cf67backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington MysticsGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 154.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 155.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Under won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.