TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 155.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,578 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under51c4,951$2,525 inWon+$2,425.938447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c3,272$1,604 inLost-$1,603.532049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over49c1,216$600 inLost-$60019446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c920.76$469 inWon+$451.9538645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c907.18$438 inWon+$469.291,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c612.22$300 inLost-$299.9964152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over49c510.2$250 inLost-$25016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over49c502.24$246 inLost-$246.132743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over53c377.73$200 inLost-$2007450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c338.23$62 inLost-$62.431,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over46c250$116 inLost-$1163158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c145.18$29 inLost-$28.6241147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under66c100$66 inWon+$3417350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c68.77$33 inWon+$35.7671245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c67.5$34 inLost-$33.7523245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under67c61.98$41 inWon+$20.54663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over52c53.85$28 inLost-$289160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over52c43.56$23 inLost-$22.6542649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c43.56$21 inWon+$22.5583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c43.43$28 inWon+$15.2350952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under67c37$25 inWon+$12.214153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under77c26.75$21 inWon+$6.1589349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…87b1backed Over50c25$12 inLost-$12.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under66c15.16$10 inWon+$5.0815654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under73c14$10 inWon+$3.7828140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.