TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,524 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics49c1,456$710 inLost-$709.9499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries51c1,405$717 inWon+$688.4550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries49c1,078$528 inWon+$549.5578548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics51c555.31$283 inLost-$283.211,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Washington Mystics48c500$240 inLost-$2408145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Washington Mystics47c215$100 inLost-$100.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Golden State Valkyries53c135.17$72 inWon+$63.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries48c61.54$30 inWon+$3246247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf10…d72fbacked Washington Mystics52c61.54$32 inLost-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Golden State Valkyries53c54.07$29 inWon+$25.4120340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Golden State Valkyries58c28.64$17 inWon+$12.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Golden State Valkyries57c20.64$12 inWon+$8.8219245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Washington Mystics54c20.09$11 inLost-$10.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.