WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a4119d5f6dc643dabae7ea3f6bb02bf01a91183a89f0d46822f72bac16a0f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 4,582$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 4,284$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.85 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 2,105$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,656$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.78 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,603$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.98 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.94 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,155$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.62 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Washington Mystics | 25c | 1,149$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 989.95$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 954.33$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 624.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 508.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 73c | 325.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 249.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 247.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 237.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 181.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 146.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics | 29c | 143.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 141.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 93.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 58.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 43.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 40.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 38.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Golden State Valkyries | 69c | 37.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 35.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…87b1backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 30.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 19.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington MysticsGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 154.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 155.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Under won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.