TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0ed…87b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category CS2 at 48 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Braunschweig: Niels McDonald vs Martin Krumichbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$8.45
Iasi: Taro Daniel vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Kate Mansfield vs Gloriana Nahumbacked Kate Mansfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
ITF Dallas: Jie Cui vs Matthew Forbesbacked Matthew Forbes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$12.2
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$5.79
ITF Laval: Nicolas Arseneault vs Benjamin Willwerthbacked Benjamin Willwerth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
ITF Laval: Matthew Thomson vs Benjamin Thomas Georgebacked Matthew Thomson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$6.87
Trieste: Federico Bondioli vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Bastad: Lisa Zaar vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Nottingham 3: William Jansen vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$11.9
Bastad: Dalma Galfi vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Nottingham 3: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Contrexeville: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Braunschweig: Rudolf Molleker vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$9.4
Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$17.2
Nottingham 3: Filippo Romano vs Max Basingbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+174%+$23.41
Braunschweig: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Max Schoenhausbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Trieste: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.17
Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej Nedicbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$5.66
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$3.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.