TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Trieste: Federico Bondioli vs Joel Schwaerzler

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Federico Bondioliof Federico Bondioli, Joel Schwaerzler
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Federico Bondioli15c20,306$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,334.968,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Joel Schwaerzler77c3,061$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.074,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Federico Bondioli13c3,008$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6134,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joel Schwaerzler67c2,933$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.298,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Bondioli18c2,424$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.186,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Federico Bondioli55c2,155$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.74,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Joel Schwaerzler74c1,573$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Federico Bondioli17c1,390$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.5931436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Joel Schwaerzler76c1,192$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.074,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Federico Bondioli27c1,105$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.653,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Federico Bondioli30c1,015$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.11,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Bondioli32c999.69$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.459,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Federico Bondioli40c796.82$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.035,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Joel Schwaerzler80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e6…f893backed Federico Bondioli50c590.32$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.441346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bb…6538backed Joel Schwaerzler71c560.88$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.61520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-62.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Joel Schwaerzler59c545.84$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.053,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Federico Bondioli26c511.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.425854.3%140 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Federico Bondioli31c475.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.062,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Joel Schwaerzler62c451.4$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.496945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Joel Schwaerzler73c438.93$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.021,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Joel Schwaerzler66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Joel Schwaerzler76c363.39$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.381,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Federico Bondioli15c358.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.32,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Federico Bondioli31c279.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.371,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39ce…e2bdbacked Joel Schwaerzler60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013056.2%73 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Joel Schwaerzler72c248.03$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5846155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Joel Schwaerzler72c240$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0729554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Joel Schwaerzler76c233.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.286,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Federico Bondioli31c213.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.782,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Joel Schwaerzler79c197.94$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.942,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Federico Bondioli32c195.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.072,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Federico Bondioli37c194.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4232952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Federico Bondioli46c184.7$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.741,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Federico Bondioli25c181.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.856,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Federico Bondioli33c171.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4718537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Joel Schwaerzler60c167.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Federico Bondioli17c165.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.422,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Federico Bondioli30c159.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.392,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Federico Bondioli26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.853,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Federico Bondioli26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.853,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Joel Schwaerzler64c137.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Joel Schwaerzler68c136$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3830353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Federico Bondioli32c136$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4814637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Joel Schwaerzler76c124.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.065,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Federico Bondioli14c123.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.525,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Federico Bondioli41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9558045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Joel Schwaerzler59c120.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.093,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Joel Schwaerzler44c113$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Federico Bondioli28c103.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Federico Bondioli15c102$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6337255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Federico Bondioli39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Federico Bondioli20c95.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2478957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Federico Bondioli26c92.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.731,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Federico Bondioli48c90.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.731,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Joel Schwaerzler49c85.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0632726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Joel Schwaerzler60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Joel Schwaerzler64c71.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4644051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189b…e764backed Federico Bondioli21c69.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Federico Bondioli32c68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4997852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Federico Bondioli23c65.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0316943.8%74 W · 95 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Federico Bondioli26c56.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.122,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Joel Schwaerzler64c53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.921,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Federico Bondioli33c50.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0482958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Joel Schwaerzler80c47.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.012,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Federico Bondioli34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Federico Bondioli76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x735a…09cebacked Federico Bondioli58c37.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.934755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Joel Schwaerzler46c37.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Joel Schwaerzler30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Joel Schwaerzler62c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Joel Schwaerzler43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3126640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Joel Schwaerzler61c32.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8325237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Joel Schwaerzler74c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6733855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Joel Schwaerzler63c31.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010855.6%60 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Joel Schwaerzler68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432452.5%170 W · 154 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Federico Bondioli35c28.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6719474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Joel Schwaerzler74c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ed…87b1backed Joel Schwaerzler75c26.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Joel Schwaerzler60c25.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5990152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Joel Schwaerzler68c25.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3118038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Joel Schwaerzler61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Joel Schwaerzler74c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1718147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Joel Schwaerzler58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Joel Schwaerzler79c17.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Joel Schwaerzler80c17.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Joel Schwaerzler74c16.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0926563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42fe…b1d0backed Joel Schwaerzler73c15.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.192466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Joel Schwaerzler72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8433557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.