TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3679…492e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
319
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT29554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 295 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.04
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$86.76
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Honbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.57
US Open, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$71.7
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$41.1
US Open, Qualification WTA: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jonesbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$126.27
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$76.62
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$188.25
US Open, Qualification WTA: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibinobacked Janae Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$244.98
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Pigossi vs Despina Papamichailbacked Laura Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.17
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
US Open, Qualification WTA: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Francisca Jorgebacked Francisca Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.82
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Ayana Akli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.94
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$169.6
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$162.87
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$224.18
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Showing 25 of 295 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+204.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+103.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.91
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$100.43
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$98.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.99
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$88.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$173.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.