TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c19,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.645,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes19c7,768$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.2975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c6,627$5,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.068,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes27c2,225$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c2,020$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.361,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes27c1,346$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes28c1,282$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes28c919.03$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.745939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes17c791.58$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.192642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No76c756.95$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2416641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes13c748$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c694.2$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.867337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No77c611.95$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.912,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes28c603.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c549.12$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3132,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No74c548$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4831349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes19c529.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes56c499.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No76c422.99$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes9c421.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.071,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013134.4%45 W · 86 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Yes58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No76c379.71$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No77c345.71$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No43c315.55$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.012759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No79c305.59$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Yes13c286.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Yes14c280.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.254235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed No74c269.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.59122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes17c248.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2710933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No74c245.2$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.554242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11416160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes17c194.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.87342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c184.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.461,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c175.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.791,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes29c174.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8319437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No75c172.08$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8227442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c154.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.562,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No77c150.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.081,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked No44c147.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.737347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes9c147.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8367548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes21c134.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No65c125.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.532139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes13c100.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005b…3c81backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes24c98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5435246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes57c87.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes57c85.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes15c82.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No73c81.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.837467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No73c81.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.835164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed No74c68.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.132227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes15c68.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No63c66.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7520065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c6…92e9backed No72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920e…6fd2backed Yes57c62.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d45…b9b3backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.415143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…81a9backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed No43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6f…d737backed Yes47c49.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a2e…ded9backed Yes57c42.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No43c36.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8218557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Yes50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No78c33.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.416142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes57c31.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.738233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No41c24.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.275251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.146744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.