TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37c6…92e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,128.81
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156%+$1,859.73
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23,247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$7,591.45
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,725.54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.07
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,410.57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.9
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.41
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.62
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,709Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$10,242.45
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$6,331.85
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$2,325.16
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160.76
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.07
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$453.85
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$1,154.08
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$123.6
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.26
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,320.29
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$3,259.87
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.36
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.4
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.16
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.46
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.85
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.98
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+231.9%+$32.14
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.87
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.79
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$18.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$76.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61%+$113.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.