NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a6ac07563a4e9f54379001a717a5a86d3ce12f1cd6932b1ea29c1f4a79d24b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Lions, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Lions | 26c | 25,090$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Bengals | 75c | 18,888$14,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…8c58backed Lions | 33c | 17,939$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lions | 24c | 15,641$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.54 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Lions | 1c | 12,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Bengals | 74c | 11,598$8,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bengals | 74c | 10,618$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.21 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bengals | 67c | 9,920$6,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.91 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lions | 28c | 7,056$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lions | 0c | 6,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Lions | 28c | 5,470$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.36 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Bengals | 67c | 4,114$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Bengals | 71c | 3,636$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lions | 29c | 3,519$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Bengals | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Bengals | 73c | 2,879$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lions | 27c | 2,688$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Bengals | 72c | 2,375$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lions | 20c | 2,319$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bengals | 68c | 2,310$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.26 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bengals | 70c | 1,681$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.62 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Bengals | 69c | 1,662$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Bengals | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bengals | 67c | 1,003$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Lions | 28c | 1,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Bengals | 70c | 906.33$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.44 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bengals | 70c | 851.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Lions | 29c | 850$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Bengals | 69c | 835.63$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lions | 28c | 823.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.68 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Lions | 8c | 791.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bengals | 72c | 781.3$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lions | 28c | 749.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bengals | 68c | 745$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bengals | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Bengals | 74c | 526$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Lions | 30c | 522.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bengals | 69c | 517.24$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Lions | 30c | 506.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Lions | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lions | 17c | 478$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Lions | 25c | 460.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Bengals | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Bengals | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Lions | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lions | 23c | 333.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Bengals | 67c | 330$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Lions | 36c | 310.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed Lions | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lions | 24c | 286.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Bengals | 72c | 270.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bengals | 69c | 255.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Bengals | 63c | 243.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Bengals | 73c | 242.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Lions | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked Lions | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Bengals | 74c | 238$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Lions | 26c | 218.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Lions | 29c | 206.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…2e66backed Lions | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Lions | 29c | 186.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bengals | 71c | 180.54$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Bengals | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Lions | 42c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Bengals | 67c | 169.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…9599backed Lions | 30c | 168.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Bengals | 73c | 160.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lions | 31c | 153.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lions | 35c | 139.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Bengals | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Bengals | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Lions | 29c | 127.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bengals | 72c | 123$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Bengals | 74c | 118.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Bengals | 69c | 113.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bengals | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lions | 22c | 107.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bengals | 72c | 107.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…5e84backed Lions | 19c | 105.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Bengals | 70c | 104.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…9459backed Lions | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lions | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Bengals | 72c | 98.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lions | 28c | 97.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Bengals | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…af1bbacked Lions | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Lions | 29c | 82.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…8cdabacked Lions | 14c | 81.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Lions | 29c | 79.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Lions | 17c | 73.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Bengals | 74c | 71.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bengals | 72c | 70.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…1e20backed Bengals | 75c | 69.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…7a58backed Bengals | 77c | 64.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Bengals | 80c | 62.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Lions | 27c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Lions | 29c | 59.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Bengals | 43c | 56.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Bengals | 70c | 55.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Lions | 26c | 55.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Bengalsthis page
- DET vs. CIN: O/U 37.5Under won
- DET vs. CIN: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: CIN (-3.5)DET won
- Spread: CIN (-4.5)DET won
- Spread: CIN (-6.5)DET won
- Spread: CIN (-7.5)DET won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.