Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba5e9340f679a8e8271560d7decaa2d3b3885e4de93a26f83003a67a82c5eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 38c | 5,612$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.24 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 69c | 4,456$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.6 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 4,043$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.63 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 33c | 1,831$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.32 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…58acbacked Yes | 77c | 1,830$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 62c | 1,549$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.64 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 68c | 1,449$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.68 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,402$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.79 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 74c | 1,395$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Yes | 78c | 1,291$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 1,232$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.6 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 32c | 1,033$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 66c | 1,022$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.54 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 16c | 974.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 33c | 904$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.32 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 34c | 648$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 33c | 562.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 553.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 77c | 535.04$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 69c | 522$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 31c | 449.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 399.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 72c | 381.15$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 371.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 27c | 300.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 276.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 274.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 271$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 31c | 221$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 78c | 217.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 66c | 210$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 204.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 7c | 170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 65c | 156.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 75c | 145.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 74c | 132$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 41c | 126.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 41c | 108.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed No | 30c | 106.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 31c | 86.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 33c | 85.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 68c | 82.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 34c | 77.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 19c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 35c | 60.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 33c | 52.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 36c | 48.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 74c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 66c | 33.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 42c | 32.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 61c | 30.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 58c | 28.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 39c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55eb…423dbacked Yes | 68c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Yes | 65c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 66c | 18.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…11babacked Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 74c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.