Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c63328045614635afedadc2ab713e19dc07ee581ca7f45339e943650018fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 25c | 17,295$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.37 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.2 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 4,464$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.7 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 4,103$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.47 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 75c | 2,897$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 2,427$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.54 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 1,914$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 1,166$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 1,076$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 75c | 988.34$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 770.36$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 76c | 726$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 10c | 629.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 519.94$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 75c | 492$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 371.6$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 315.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 275$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 273$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 273$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 20c | 266.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 199.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 168.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 69.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 77c | 31.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 28.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 77c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 76c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?this page
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.