Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9617467e2a299c8326a6d0e623e8cbde46b77116acd4fa656128aeecd6a7302b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 26c | 3,508$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.57 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 2,973$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.16 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 2,340$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.53 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 2,037$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.89 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,937$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.83 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 1,208$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.13 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,103$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 64c | 1,033$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.61 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 1,023$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 47c | 919.69$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.37 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 836.34$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 18c | 806.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 16c | 800$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 17c | 783.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.17 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 74c | 676.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 74c | 675.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…533fbacked No | 78c | 666$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 510.66$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed No | 24c | 463.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2c20backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 78c | 368.21$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 43c | 308.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 11c | 275$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 267.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 33c | 250$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 8c | 245.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 70c | 199.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 16c | 181.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 144.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 135.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed Yes | 43c | 127.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 115.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 113$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 107.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Yes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 73c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 18c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 75c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…a1c1backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…661dbacked No | 26c | 50.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 26c | 48.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 38.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 31.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 75c | 30.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 57c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 79c | 17.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 17.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 78c | 16.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 68c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 75c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 74c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.