TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No2c18,186$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.243818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c15,476$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.125,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No4c8,872$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.747037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No56c7,661$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.783363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes20c7,546$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,046.011827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c7,367$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.542,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes70c6,720$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.62,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No31c5,959$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.931,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes15c5,777$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.0819340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes17c5,432$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.553941%16 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c4,285$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.32,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c4,284$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.6296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes49c3,847$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.1717753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No54c3,592$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.8930548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes47c3,347$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.9117041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes9c2,849$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.93450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+240.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No27c2,493$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No39c2,111$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.5522949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No52c1,872$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.9113654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No78c1,709$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.9821854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes15c1,246$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.966442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Yes41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No45c1,150$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.65046%23 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes43c1,124$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.563534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c1,080$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.0838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes15c1,029$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.312437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes43c981.22$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8674739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes10c973.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.264254.8%23 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes57c960.5$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5572144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No9c927.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1914942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c927.52$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9639649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c862.53$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.641,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No18c822.16$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes21c800$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.78633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No61c750.22$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3810156.4%57 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No12c716.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.59545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No68c692.32$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8870842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No76c640$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.243551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes57c625.79$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.094330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No36c600.1$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4492835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes69c579.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes52c516.04$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.736663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Yes30c495.46$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes16c456.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.264755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No74c428.95$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7426348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8546…b518backed Yes71c423.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…1d11backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No77c390.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No13c379.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4924448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c365.29$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.861,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes15c358.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.45930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No50c342.51$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2318542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No59c340.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3358542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c334$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x550e…b4e7backed Yes38c288.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7208…0f10backed Yes42c285.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes44c272$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.323644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c256.5$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0817249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No8c253.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0529425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No61c250$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.892138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes52c247$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.691833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes43c242.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.451752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes42c239.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1753946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes42c238$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.04944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed No9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20340%0 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No74c221.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.171850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No5c221.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0942625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked No18c215.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.311625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3693446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.537349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No31c200.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.72962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked No9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No11c184.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8137153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes11c183.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.432857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+114.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.821145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No10c178.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0125155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes69c165.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.362661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9535751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No30c149.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.838953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No21c140.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8914949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes42c135.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.718243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…ed7bbacked Yes80c125.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes32c124.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes24c122.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5624548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes46c122.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6413644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9511141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x590d…572dbacked Yes15c121.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+231.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No36c110.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3811861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3950…0d49backed Yes12c106.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+412.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No19c106.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9618161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No17c103.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.924621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903551.4%18 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+99.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5319556.9%111 W · 84 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904052.5%21 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+106.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.