TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f57…f8c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10024%24 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+623.6%+$389.73
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.25
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.83
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$29.66
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$216
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Beijing Guoan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$56
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.91
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$20.33
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$51.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$124.82
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$102.91
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.58
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+487.4%+$480.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.23
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advancebacked LASK Linz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$352
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advancebacked Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$66.96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+96.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.86
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$94.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.7%+$3.91
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.43
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$224.44
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$172
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+165.5%+$33.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.