Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f24335e6d602d940ddf87ab1650bae3834dd07d70318914bb206c0f6839390

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,263,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,370,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,263,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf588…2b81backed Yes	0c	141,418$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.37	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	16c	48,500$7,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,760	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	14c	46,269$6,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,477.63	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	18c	39,587$6,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,973.46	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes	3c	28,382$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.28	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	1c	27,857$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.56	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	15c	25,228$3,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,714.04	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes	18c	23,241$4,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,238.11	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes	0c	20,185$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	71	38%27 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked Yes	15c	13,102$2,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,026.31	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6c…5013backed Yes	16c	12,861$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065.14	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes	1c	11,535$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes	16c	10,625$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…0674backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	15c	9,999$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.86	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7e…460ebacked Yes	16c	9,375$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes	1c	9,236$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.22	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes	11c	8,815$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	119	42%50 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…e5d7backed Yes	17c	8,647$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	1c	7,854$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.93	157	35.7%56 W · 101 L	+15.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc5b…8ef3backed Yes	17c	6,978$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	16c	6,918$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.68	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes	15c	6,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	34.3%59 W · 113 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	16c	6,150$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	14c	5,357$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.98	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	14c	5,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312f…b91cbacked Yes	0c	4,850$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	17c	4,727$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.59	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6612…3d87backed Yes	4c	4,726$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes	18c	4,679$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.36	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes	15c	4,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	18c	3,536$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.65	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	15c	3,400$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes	18c	3,327$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.83	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes	12c	3,164$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	145	44.1%64 W · 81 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3a…99febacked Yes	9c	3,026$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes	19c	3,000$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.31	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a68…a4c8backed Yes	17c	2,931$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbec…8d8fbacked Yes	7c	2,857$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb301…79ddbacked Yes	10c	2,775$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes	17c	2,637$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.34	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	15c	2,630$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.92	382	33.2%127 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes	16c	2,502$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes	18c	2,376$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.23	165	48.5%80 W · 85 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8340…2e65backed Yes	3c	2,337$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes	18c	2,296$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.72	250	52%130 W · 120 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes	18c	2,295$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.97	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes	18c	2,110$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.71	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes	16c	2,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dd6…a701backed Yes	3c	2,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16a8…7686backed Yes	12c	1,947$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc739…b6c3backed Yes	15c	1,939$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.82	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	34cpaid	+85.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	17c	1,766$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.27	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4829…f201backed Yes	1c	1,750$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes	15c	1,700$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes	16c	1,688$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No	80c	1,686$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.29	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes	18c	1,685$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.25	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes	15c	1,684$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.63	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes	17c	1,639$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.63	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9361…0321backed Yes	15c	1,625$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes	16c	1,563$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024d…6b2bbacked Yes	17c	1,523$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	7c	1,513$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes	18c	1,389$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…0603backed Yes	16c	1,382$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes	17c	1,379$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.64	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3582…c82dbacked Yes	15c	1,361$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.16	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7936…9306backed Yes	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a5…3958backed Yes	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	16c	1,300$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes	7c	1,300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.49	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc451…978ebacked Yes	17c	1,259$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes	15c	1,229$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes	11c	1,170$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.73	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9054…d8a9backed Yes	15c	1,162$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.68	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	15c	1,145$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.73	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Yes	15c	1,120$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…c9dbbacked Yes	4c	1,120$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	1c	1,119$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.45	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes	15c	1,067$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes	15c	1,059$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893b…b1b4backed Yes	15c	1,041$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.16	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa943…4fedbacked No	78c	1,031$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19aa…e2bbbacked Yes	7c	1,023$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No	79c	1,016$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.89	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes	6c	1,012$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+62%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event