TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc739…b6c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$340.21
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.4
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.09
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$421.67
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$329
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$517.65
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.85
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,913.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$631.94
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,026.87
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,851Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$953.72
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.5%+$142.98
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.3%+$26.23
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$91.79
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$724.74
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+34.2%+$104.4
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.7%+$71.16
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+85.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.19
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$104.8
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.1%+$276.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$687.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+525%+$787.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$385.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-69.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$33.04
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+59%+$319.23
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+68.5%+$181.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$879.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$756
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059.8
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$229.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.