Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d30f3d41bbab278c2108ab0883d7ae1a9fac97a2086542a975d885a9c72dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,724,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,581,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,724,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed No | 78c | 2,085,678$1,622,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462,778.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 22c | 858,860$188,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,949.2 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 22c | 401,565$86,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,797.33 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 312,302$244,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,905.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 77c | 146,062$112,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,114.83 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 143,471$31,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,726.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 77c | 141,115$108,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,994.74 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 124,836$23,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,635.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…9c7abacked Yes | 26c | 110,309$28,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,986.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Yes | 22c | 100,800$22,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,176 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 22c | 100,086$22,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,019.82 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 22c | 75,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 23c | 63,829$14,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,983.09 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 51,360$39,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,382.21 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes | 20c | 48,483$9,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,696.64 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Yes | 20c | 45,000$8,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,823.63 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Yes | 25c | 44,531$11,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,235.41 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 78c | 43,140$33,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,490.77 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed No | 76c | 39,999$30,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.65 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 24c | 39,468$9,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444.7 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 21c | 38,696$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 36,419$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,508.39 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Yes | 23c | 35,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 30,125$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,627.58 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Yes | 23c | 27,826$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.9 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 24,041$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 21c | 23,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 22,075$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.81 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…da91backed Yes | 10c | 20,655$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 21c | 20,482$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.69 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed No | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 23c | 19,924$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.92 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 22c | 17,777$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.94 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 20c | 16,254$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.53 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4718…e2e8backed Yes | 22c | 15,150$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 14,561$11,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.88 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…69ecbacked Yes | 23c | 14,466$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 14,144$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.61 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 21c | 14,048$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 76c | 13,900$10,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 13,689$10,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.67 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 0c | 13,074$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 78c | 12,856$9,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.58 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed Yes | 23c | 12,209$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 21c | 12,040$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.89 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…8717backed Yes | 22c | 11,417$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 11,213$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.73 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 20c | 10,613$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.45 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 10,272$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.6 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.92 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 25c | 9,996$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.11 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 9,775$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.11 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes | 19c | 9,178$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.79 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 23c | 8,477$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.7 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 24c | 8,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 77c | 8,347$6,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.81 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…08e1backed Yes | 22c | 8,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Yes | 23c | 8,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 7,977$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.82 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…968bbacked Yes | 22c | 7,952$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 76c | 7,873$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.17 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 26c | 7,615$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 17c | 7,580$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.2 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…2aaabacked Yes | 22c | 7,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Yes | 22c | 6,818$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Yes | 23c | 6,631$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 22c | 6,453$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 6,329$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 23c | 6,279$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.85 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 78c | 6,240$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.69 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d00…52f2backed Yes | 24c | 5,880$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 21c | 5,675$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 78c | 5,529$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.72 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 78c | 5,342$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.53 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 78c | 5,242$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.63 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…4effbacked Yes | 21c | 5,238$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6e…78e0backed No | 72c | 5,195$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 80c | 5,128$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.18 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 16c | 4,595$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.27 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…e4bebacked Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed No | 78c | 4,436$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 23c | 4,391$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.89 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…54bcbacked No | 77c | 4,319$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.47 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 4,243$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.78 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 24c | 4,178$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 4,150$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?this page
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.