Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cdf481e0d213e3ad3b2c096ad9dfea604b6587900419d0a214aac966c68988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,858,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,926,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,858,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7225…659abacked Yes | 67c | 1,120,084$754,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365,405.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 30c | 537,288$163,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,798.63 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 460,875$206,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,808.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 374,095$128,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,264.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes | 40c | 370,097$148,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,058.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 61c | 210,934$129,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,011.84 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 43c | 193,117$83,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,124.73 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 57c | 130,604$74,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,444.23 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 33c | 117,430$39,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,265.72 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 106,887$31,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,786.34 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Yes | 72c | 100,087$72,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,027.77 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 60c | 78,705$47,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,223 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 42c | 72,558$30,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,372.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 60c | 66,665$39,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,943.81 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 63,176$22,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,187.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 42c | 60,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,199.96 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 29c | 59,826$17,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,312.06 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 38c | 53,301$20,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,432.99 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 43c | 46,512$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,511.63 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed No | 49c | 42,171$20,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,719.91 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 60c | 41,629$24,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,977.26 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 35,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,299.96 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 60c | 34,661$20,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,796.68 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 40c | 30,707$12,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,424.43 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes | 42c | 30,699$12,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,805.61 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 8c | 23,947$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.47 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 75c | 23,000$17,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 37c | 21,534$7,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,953.15 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 20,213$12,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,534.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed No | 58c | 19,500$11,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,324.99 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 59c | 19,230$11,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,345.89 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yes | 65c | 17,768$11,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 32c | 15,448$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.53 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 43c | 13,394$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.69 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 77c | 12,138$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.95 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 11,656$6,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,908.46 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 43c | 11,621$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,623.73 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 30c | 10,382$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,239.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 9,402$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.45 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed No | 60c | 8,340$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 60c | 8,338$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.54 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 8,170$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 57c | 8,073$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.61 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 8c | 7,797$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.94 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed No | 60c | 7,721$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.32 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 59c | 7,500$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 20c | 7,350$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.94 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 60c | 6,827$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.25 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 41c | 6,745$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.57 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 37c | 6,732$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.73 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 69c | 6,607$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.89 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 60c | 6,500$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 59c | 5,600$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c99…809cbacked No | 24c | 5,534$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed No | 61c | 5,211$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.57 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 42c | 5,137$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.54 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Yes | 41c | 5,132$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.02 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 4,828$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.21 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 60c | 4,720$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.72 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6e…78e0backed Yes | 38c | 4,559$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 33c | 4,539$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.58 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 57c | 4,486$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.18 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 44c | 4,435$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.87 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 18c | 4,025$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.81 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…740bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.37 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 57c | 3,913$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.15 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 3,891$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.53 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 58c | 3,798$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 3,773$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.25 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 30c | 3,622$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.06 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 3,451$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Yes | 41c | 3,435$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.06 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…c7e5backed Yes | 73c | 3,405$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.36 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed No | 66c | 2,835$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.06 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 43c | 2,801$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.66 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 28c | 2,781$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.03 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 58c | 2,679$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.26 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 36c | 2,635$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.21 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…da35backed Yes | 41c | 2,568$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.28 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8712…d4c1backed No | 25c | 2,483$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Yes | 42c | 2,435$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.87 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?No won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.