TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x132f…453b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7135.2%25 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,710
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.04
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,808.12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,410.14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$703.11
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.71
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.67
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$3,626.17
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,359
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$145.94
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940.55
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,922.42
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,648.17
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,932Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,201.5
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,448.28
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,561.22
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+312.4%+$2,498.97
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$478
Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,652.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+109%+$2,101.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$2,901.96
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,951.03
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.49
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$931
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,288.52
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+105%+$3,813.26
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+213.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,867Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$15,087.03
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33,418.44
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.