CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e77f89fb4f31f5e18724f310a590a2de6dffbdcb8c8775172f2a9bf318e255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,433,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,586,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,433,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 106,363$55,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,124.09 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 102,374$53,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,388.02 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z | 49c | 55,000$26,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,699.96 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 9z | 47c | 52,661$24,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,750.86 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 49,995$38,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,757.01 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked 9z | 49c | 48,000$23,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,414.36 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked 9z | 49c | 46,570$22,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,819.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 38,258$19,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,009.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed 9z | 50c | 37,127$18,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,634.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z | 35c | 34,071$12,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,072.44 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 33,500$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,750 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 29,265$16,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,756.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed 9z | 50c | 25,217$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 22,593$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,792.59 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 22,569$11,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.11 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,779.93 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 9z | 48c | 20,621$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed 9z | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 18,488$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.67 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed 9z | 19c | 18,074$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.98 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed 9z | 48c | 17,985$8,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,632.75 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed 9z | 50c | 17,912$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed 9z | 48c | 16,425$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,884.15 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.99 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 9z | 33c | 12,990$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.99 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked 9z | 49c | 12,447$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 12,404$9,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.18 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked 9z | 2c | 12,100$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 12,003$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.4 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 12,000$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.95 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…75a2backed 9z | 17c | 11,211$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked 9z | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed 9z | 47c | 10,289$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…a968backed 9z | 49c | 10,050$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 10,025$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,812.02 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked 9z | 26c | 9,900$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.19 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked 9z | 51c | 9,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 9,423$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.46 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 9z | 33c | 9,035$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.87 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed 9z | 30c | 9,008$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.72 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked 9z | 20c | 9,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 9z | 28c | 8,716$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.08 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 8,385$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.2 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked 9z | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 9z | 42c | 8,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 9z | 38c | 7,965$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.5 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked 9z | 50c | 7,800$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked 9z | 45c | 7,770$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.5 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed 9z | 34c | 7,728$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.95 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked 9z | 54c | 7,679$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.29 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 7,465$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.02 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…0e7bbacked 9z | 48c | 7,396$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 9z | 34c | 7,154$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.46 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 9z | 47c | 7,057$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.65 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed 9z | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 6,995$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.62 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 9z | 20c | 6,942$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.95 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 9z | 48c | 6,750$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 9z | 46c | 6,641$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.87 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 6,497$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.73 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked 9z | 5c | 6,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.51 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked 9z | 12c | 6,133$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…ddcbbacked 9z | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 9z | 46c | 6,005$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.65 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.92 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 5,969$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z | 43c | 5,864$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.02 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…b339backed 9z | 48c | 5,850$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed 9z | 48c | 5,623$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.18 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 5,482$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.32 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 5,138$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.36 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.01 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 9z | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 5,000$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 9z | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 5,000$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.37 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 38c | 4,995$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.31 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 9z | 42c | 4,975$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 4,950$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,909$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.68 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed 9z | 20c | 4,863$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 4,784$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.44 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.03 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 9z | 20c | 4,686$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.54 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed 9z | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…e707backed 9z | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,376$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.78 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed 9z | 19c | 4,306$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.14 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked 9z | 47c | 4,227$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked 9z | 20c | 4,180$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…9e62backed 9z | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked 9z | 27c | 4,050$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.